This is one time to side with the NFL players

There are two fundamental realities when it comes to understanding the NFL. The first is the league itself – that is, the owners and league headquarters – are driven by money. The second is the players are quite aware of how tenuous their time in the NFL can be.

Those two points are critical to remember when it comes to assessing an 18-game season, which commissioner Roger Goodell advocated Wednesday. That could happen as early as the 2012 season.

There are four preseason games and 16 games now, which is a ridiculous balance. Fans are forced to pay full price for two home preseason games, which mean so little that starters barely play. Coaches don’t need eight weeks of preseason to figure out who their ninth offensive lineman will be. Two preseason games, maximum, is enough.

Turn two of those games into regular-season games, though, and you have more cash for the league.

But 16 games is already a long season, which is why players approach an even longer schedule with caution. The NFL looks like a glitzy chess match when you watch on TV, but when you see the sport up close it’s a display of brutality and force that is both awesome and frightening. Reporters see the toll it takes on players in the locker room later, as players with purple fingers and welts on their arms waddle to the showers.

By December, NFL locker rooms feel like a M*A*S*H unit, and every player is playing in pain. What the reporters don’t see are the players in the whirlpools and ice tubs and the players who take pills and injections to keep going. It’s a harsh world – if you don’t play, you risk getting release.

In the NBA, contracts are guaranteed and players often seem indifferent. But NFL contracts are not guaranteed, and that enforces a ruthless efficiency that demands performance every time. Players know this, and they also know the team doctors work for the team.

If the coach needs you – and in the NFL, he always does – and the doctor says one shot will ease your pain so you can play, you do it. Ask an NFL player about this harsh dynamic, and you’ll get a knowing smile back – and a quote that won’t get them in trouble.

NFL players aren’t the spoiled lot you might think. There’s an Albert Haynesworth here or there, but most of those guys know they would be lucky to play six years and never destroy a knee. They know exactly what an 18-game season means for their bodies, and why the league is pushing it.

If the NFL moves to 18 games, it should give the players major concessions, especially with more players on the active roster. The NFL season is no chess match – it’s a war of attrition that thrills fans and punishes combatants.

NFL players are right to approach this move with caution, and to demand compensation if it happens.

Projecting Duke: Devils improving each year under Cutcliffe

Duke is looking pretty good in football these days under Coach David Cutcliffe. The Devils got four wins two years ago and five wins last season. The big question: can Duke improve to six wins this year?

Well, they would have in the days of weak non-conference opponents but I foresee the Devils managing only five wins. While that only matches last season, in reality, it would be an even bigger achievement – considering the schedule and the loss of All-ACC quarterback Thaddeus Lewis.

If Duke could upset somebody like Carolina or Miami or Boston College, they could get to six wins. I’m thinking 5-7 is more probable, and if they are going to do that well, they have to get off to a quick start.

Here’s a game-by-game breakdown:

Sept. 4, Elon: Elon is a small school but they are good. A victory over Duke isn’t out of the question – think Appalachian over Michigan. Duke isn’t Michigan either. But Coach Cutcliffe should have them ready and won’t let them overlook Elon. Duke wins at home.

Sept. 11, at Wake Forest: This should be a good game but Wake is on the way down and Duke is on the way up. The Devils have a good field goal kicker for a change – Will Snyderwine is a member of the Groza Award watch list. Devils by a field goal.

Sept. 18, Alabama: It’ll be fun to see Alabama run out on the field in Durham. It won’t be much fun as they run off the field. Alabama.

Sept. 25, Army: Duke should have an easier time with Army than it did with Elon.

Oct. 2, at Maryland: This is a must win for Duke if they have any hopes of finishing .500 on the year. The Terps lost their last seven games last season but they should be better this year. They’ll expect to win this one against the Devils. They won’t. Duke’s players are more experienced and Sean Renfree should be settled in at quarterback by now. It’s starting to look like a special season as Duke stands at 4-1.

Oct. 16, Miami: The demise begins. The Hurricanes are a hard team to predict but my guess is they’ll be a good bit better than the Devils. Miami.

Oct. 23, at Virginia Tech: The Hokies by quite a few.

Oct. 30, at Navy: The Midshipmen are good. They like to run it right at you and they have virtually everybody back. Duke’s defense is probably weakest on the defensive line. Navy runs over the Devils in a ball-control, close contest.

Nov. 6, Virginia: This is the last time the Devils will be favored so they’d better win it at home.

Nov. 13, Boston College: Another winnable game but BC has 14 starters back from an 8-5 team and the Eagles could be battling Clemson for second in the division. Boston College.

Nov. 20, at Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech and Duke have comparable coaches but not comparable players or depth. By late in the season, the Devils lack of depth will hurt any chances they might have to upset someone. Ramblin’ Wreck.

Nov. 27, North Carolina: This is always a wild, emotional game and it will mean even more than usual as the Devils could get to 6-6 with a victory and Carolina could be fighting for a good bowl. By this time all the NCAA investigation talk should be a distant memory for Carolina, which could have its best defense in years. Tar Heels.

That makes the season prediction 5-7.

If Duke could find some depth or either remain healthy throughout the season (which is almost impossible) and QB Renfree lives up to his potential and the defense holds its own, Duke could upset somebody and finish 6-6.

There is little room for error for Duke, plus Renfree, while good, is a year away from great. So Duke finishes 5-7.

Former UNC, Redskins player Chris Hanburger up for Hall of Fame

Former UNC and Washington Redskins star Chris Hanburger, now 69 years old, has been approved for induction in the the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton, Ohio by the Hall’s senior committee. It will come up for a full vote in February.

Hanburger was one of Carolina’s first great linebackers. He starred for the Heels from 1962-64 and led them to an ACC championship and a Gator Bowl win during the 1963 season. He also played center on offense. He was named to the All-ACC team both his junior and senior seasons.

Hanburger, who majored in history, now spends much of his time reading books about American history and says he doesn’t keep up with pro football much because it just doesn’t interest him.

Hanburger played with the Redskins his entire pro career from 1965-78 and was named to nine Pro Bowl teams including in 1972 when he was also chosen as the NFC defensive player of the year. In the off season, he worked at Ford car dealerships and eventually owned one himself.

Hanburger, the defensive captain, was known for his hard hits and playing through pain. He played in 135 consecutive games for the Redskins. He mastered the art of the clothesline tackle, which is no longer legal in the NFL. He sidelined many a runningback and receiver by sticking that immovable arm around their neck. Before it incurred a penalty, it was fun to watch.

No. 55 was honored in 2002 as one of the 70 greatest Washington Redskins players of all time.

N.C. State ticket situation is worth watching

N.C. State’s season ticket sales are off slightly, The News & Observer reported Wednesday, which is always one of those signs of concern among the fan base. The Wolfpack sold 38,000 season tickets last year and is 1,800 off that number now.

The recession is obviously a factor – another may be that two of the Pack’s six home games come on Thursday nights. But this is a trend worth watching this fall. State hasn’t averaged fewer than 56,000 fans since 2005, when it averaged 52,925. Even that number is deceiving because one game, Middle Tennessee, drew only 37,000.

Here are State’s home-attendance averages the last four years:

2009: 56,422
2008: 56,665
2007: 56,356
2006: 56,540
2005: 52,925

Those aren’t SEC numbers but are strong for an ACC team. UNC, by comparison, has sold 35,100 season tickets this year, up from 34,500 last season.

Duke has sold out of season tickets, but the Devils aren’t giving that total. This much we do know – Alabama fans are doing all they can to get tickets, and you can bet some Duke, uh, season ticket holders will be wearing Crimson Sept. 18.

The lone New Yorker on the Wolfpack roster

Strange, but true – junior Curtis Underwood, who could start at running back for N.C. State, is the only player from the state of New York on the Wolfpack roster.

Underwood, 5 feet 11 and 216 pounds, is from Lackawanna, N.Y. Tom O’Brien was recruiting him when O’Brien was at Boston College and stayed on him after moving to Raleigh. Underwood was a two-star recruit according to Scout.com in O’Brien’s initial recruiting class that signed in February of 2007.

Even Bowden should realize Fla. State needed a change

Isn’t it sad to see Bobby Bowden questioning Florida State’s loyalty after he was pushed out as football coach after last season.

“I know things don’t always end the way you expect them to, but where was the loyalty you would think you’d get after 34 years of service?” he wrote in his book, “Called to Coach.” “You can’t imagine how many times those in charge told me over the last 20 years, ‘Bobby, you can coach as long as you’d like at FSU.'”

Bowden desperately wanted to win 400 games. He finished at 389, although the NCAA doesn’t recognize 12 of those after finding the athletic department guilty of academic fraud.

Bowden had a great run at Florida State but golly, that run was over. The Seminoles won the ACC in 2005 but were only 16-16 in league play in the last four seasons. Toss in the fact that FSU has lost six straight to Florida – and four by blow-out scores – and it was time for a change in Tallahassee.

Even Bowden should recognize that.

Projecting East Carolina: Big changes, schedule work against Pirates

East Carolina is coming off perhaps its best three-year run but with Coach Skip Holtz and 28 seniors gone, and with only eight starters returning, and with a very tough schedule, this is going to be a down year.

New coach Ruffin McNeill wants to play a more wide-open, pass-happy game and that will take time to put in place. While there is some good talent on offense and special teams that should keep them competitive, the defense looks shaky.

If ECU could get to six wins, McNeill should get coach of the year consideration in Conference USA. While five wins is doable, 4-8 is more likely not only because of the tough opponents but when the games are played. Two conference games and two away games against strong ACC teams is not how you’d like to start a new regime.

Here’s a game-by-game breakdown:

Sept. 5, Tulsa: A conference game to start… at least it’s at home. Tulsa is coming off a 5-7 season and will be better this year. If Holtz were still there, I’d give this one to ECU but you have to think there will be growing pains early in Greenville. Tulsa.

Sept. 11, Memphis: This could be the most important game of the year, especially if ECU loses to Tulsa. These teams are evenly matched even though Memphis was only 2-10 last year. Being at home against a slightly inferior opponent and having a game under their belts, East Carolina should come out on top.

Sept. 18, at Virginia Tech: The Hokies are favorites to win the ACC and if QB Tyrod Taylor improves a good bit, they could be in the national championship talk at the end of the year. While this is an away game for ECU, it wouldn’t matter where it is played. Virginia Tech in a blowout.

Oct. 2, at North Carolina: ECU would dearly love to win this game, and if emotion alone could win at game, this would be it. And who knows what Carolina’s state of mind will be after tough games against LSU and Georgia Tech. But the game is in Chapel Hill and the Tar Heels have too much talent. UNC.

Oct. 9, at Southern Miss: Southern Miss is a Conference USA East favorite. They have one of the better defenses around, with almost everybody back. This shouldn’t be close. Golden Eagles.

Oct. 16, N.C. State: Tom O’Brien beat Skip Holtz twice and he can beat a first-year coach. ECU will fight hard at home against a hated in-state rival. But… the Pack. That leaves the mid-year record at 1-5.

Oct. 23, Marshall: With four straight losses and possibly only one win on the season, ECU fans will be singing Waylon Jennings – “This is gettin’ funny but there ain’t nobody laughin’.” Marshall is coming off a winning season where they went to a bowl but they have a new coach too and this game is at East Carolina. ECU will be hungry and, especially at home, wanting to show they are better than their record. ECU.

Oct. 30, at UCF: Along with Southern Miss, the favorites in the Conference USA East. ECU will be sky high after beating Marshall but UCF has too much talent, especially All-America defensive end Bruce Miller and tailback Brynn Harvey. UCF wins to drop ECU to 2-6 overall and 1-4 in the conference.

Nov. 6, Navy: The Midshipmen have had winning seasons for seven years in a row and went 10-4 last year with a big win in a bowl game. Some people have ECU winning this game. But East Carolina’s defense, especially along the line and at linebacker, is suspect and Navy, the nation’s fifth best rushing team last year, have their QB, their running backs and both tackles back. I know it’s at home but Navy’s running game can wear you down. Navy.

Nov. 11, at UAB: This is a Thursday night national TV game. Why, I don’t know. UAB has a poor defense and they lost their starting QB from a year ago. I suppose they’ll be fired up to host a primetime game but they are also probably the worse team in Conference USA. Plus, by this point in the season, it won’t seem like McNeill is a new coach and he should have things heading in the right direction. ECU improves to 3-7.

Nov. 20, at Rice: Rice reminds me of a dish that isn’t so tasty but there’s a lot of it. In other words, the Owls were terrible on both sides of the ball last year but most everybody is back. You have to figure with more experience that they’ll be better and they’re playing at home. But ECU has learned to play tough teams on the road by this point. They should be able to beat a less-than-tough team this late in the season. Plus, they have more than a week to prepare. ECU moves to 4-7.

Nov. 26, SMU: This should be a real fight. A proud East Carolina team will be playing its finale at home with no bowl prospects and SMU will be playing for a bowl and possibly the Conference USA West. SMU is an up-and-coming team under June Jones. Advantage SMU.

That makes the season prediction 4-8.

If Emanuel Davis, an all-conference cornerback, can step up as an effective leader and Boston College transfer QB Dominique Davis is as strong and mobile as advertised, and Davis can find someone to throw to besides Dwayne Harris, and Harris can run back a few punts or kickoffs for touchdowns, the miracle of miracles could happen and the Pirates could finish 7-5 or 6-6.

With a new coach and the schedule the way it is, I’ll stick with 4-8.

Pack’s Toney Baker released by Denver Broncos

Hate to see Toney Baker get released by the Denver Broncos, which happened Monday. Baker could have returned to N.C. State this season, which would have been his sixth in school, but decided to try to play pro football.

However, Baker’s chances of making the team dropped when the Broncos signed former Raider Justin Fargas to beef up what was already a crowded backfield. Baker certainly could have helped a Wolfpack team that takes an untested backfield into the 2010 season, but you can’t blame him for wanting to take his chances at the NFL after five years of school.

Closer looks shows LSU game is opportunity for Heels

Les Miles

LSU is ranked No. 16 in the USA Today coaches’ poll – the third-highest SEC team – and if you only saw that, you’d think the Tigers were their usual juggernaut.

They are not, which makes their Sept. 4 game with North Carolina particularly intriguing. In the Triangle, attention has been focused on the NCAA probe and which Tar Heels will be eligible. But in the Bayou, there’s rising concern that LSU has dipped since Les Miles led them to the national title in 2007.

LSU was 8-5 in 2008 and 9-4 in 2009 but a combined 8-8 in SEC play over those two seasons. It’s interesting that reporters who cover college football overall and the SEC in particular aren’t as convinced about LSU’s potential. The Tigers are ranked No. 21 in preseason in the AP poll, their lowest showing in that poll since 2000.

The SEC media picked the Tigers for fourth in the SEC West. In fact, the media vote total for LSU was only the seventh-highest in the league and only one reporter picked the Tigers to win the SEC.

LSU wide receiver Russell Shepard told the New Orleans Times-Picayune, “A lot of teams would kill to be there. At the same time, our expectation levels here are very high.

“You can’t get caught up in them. We’re going to take it one game at a time and make our statement Sept. 4.”

Miles’ reputation as a game manager took a hit with LSU’s goofy ending in a 25-23 loss at Ole Miss in November. The Tigers recovered an onside kick at their own 42-yard line with 1:16 left and started driving, but squandered their chances with incredibly poor decisions. They got sacked to get knocked out of field goal range, wasted 17 seconds before calling time-out and, when a long pass put them at the 6-yard line, had no plan to kick a field goal as time ran out.

“I know there was a lot of confusion on the sideline,” quarterback Jordan Jefferson said after the game. “Nobody knew what to do.”

Miles accepted blame, but those blunders don’t play well in the frenzy that is the SEC. So LSU faces real scrutiny as the season opens, and fields a team with real questions.

Jefferson, for example, didn’t endear himself to Tiger fans with some tentative play and was sacked 34 times. LSU averaged only 305 yards of total offense, ranking a dismal 112th nationally. Jefferson will work with talent and depth at receiver and running back, so LSU hopes to improve on offense.

“He’s starting to realize that it’s more than a position, that it’s not just: Call the play and throw the ball,” Miles said of Jefferson in USA Today. “It’s a responsibility to function the offense and to give us an opportunity at victory, and to see the defense, and to understand the call.”

The defense is strong, led by two preseason All-SEC picks in cornerback Patrick Peterson and linebacker Kelvin Sheppard.

When you look at the Sept. 4 game objectively, you can easily see Carolina’s defense being dominant. LSU is still a legitimate SEC power, but the Heels might be catching them at the right time. A win in Atlanta would be a huge statement for Carolina and the ACC – and exactly the kind of statement LSU followers fear.

UNC hangs hopes on Yates, at least for now

T.J. Yates is North Carolina’s starting quarterback, at least for the opener Sept. 4 against LSU. Now, the hard part for Yates may be hanging onto the job.

Yates has been pushed hard in preseason by redshirt freshman Bryn Renner. UNC coach Butch Davis has raved about Renner’s arm, and you can’t help but be impressed when you see Renner roll out and throw. But Davis told reporters Monday that Yates remains No. 1.

“Clearly, as I said the other day, T.J. Yates is still the starting quarterback,” Davis said. “And I think that he’s done a very, very good job. I think that Bryn has pushed him and Bryn has earned the respect. …”

Davis said it “wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility that [Renner] could certainly play in the first game.”

But he hedged that by saying he didn’t know how the game would unfold, and there was no set plan to play Renner.

You can’t help but like Yates if you meet him. He’s patient, quotable, funny, and smart enough to handle any hard question. You’d have to imagine his teammates respect him and want him to succeed. The real question on Yates isn’t whether he’s a good quarterback. Obviously he is – his 2,655 yards passing in 2007 was a UNC record, and he had a strong sophomore year despite missing five games.

But is Yates a great quarterback? Yates had some tough games in 2009, going 11 of 26 with two picks in the loss at Georgia Tech, throwing two more interceptions against Virginia with no touchdowns, and completing only 12 of 25 against Florida State.

Can he put Carolina in position to compete for an ACC title, which it hasn’t won since 1980?  Beginning with LSU, the Tar Heels will find out.